Celta have been playing some good attacking football in recent weeks but have been let down by their finishing, along with an incredibly leaky defence.
Carvalhal will not have had long to work with the team, but we are expecting to see a response from his players against an Osasuna side with just three goals scored away from home this campaign.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.02%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
