Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.44%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 16.51%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.04%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
-1.12) 
1.89) 
