Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Eldense had a probability of 18.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Eldense win it was 1-0 (7.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
