Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win with a probability of 41.49%. A win for Gimnastic had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ibiza Islas Pitiusas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.28%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Gimnastic win was 0-1 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.