Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Gimnastic had a probability of 23.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.17%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for a Gimnastic win it was 1-0 (9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
