SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 68.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 14.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
68.03% ( -3.83) | 17.54% ( 1.51) | 14.43% ( 2.32) |
| Both teams to score 59.08% ( 1.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( -1.7) | 32.47% ( 1.7) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( -2) | 54.11% ( 2) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.26% ( -1.23) | 8.74% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.95% ( -3.09) | 30.04% ( 3.09) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.74% ( 2.14) | 35.26% ( -2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.98% ( 2.17) | 72.02% ( -2.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Sevilla |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.24)1-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.69)4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.45)4-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.73)3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.08)5-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.38)5-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.51)5-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.22)Other @ 4.24% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.68) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.42)0-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.27)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.25% Total : 17.54% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.56) 0-1 @ 3.21% ( 0.45)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.32)1-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.27)Other @ 2.31% Total : 14.43% |
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