There have been 12 goals in the last two La Liga matches between these two sides, but we are expecting this to be a quieter affair. We are finding it tough to pick a winner on Friday night and have therefore had to settle on a low-scoring draw, which both managers would likely take ahead of kickoff.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.42%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
-0.22) 
0.04) 
