Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Pontevedra CF had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.52%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Pontevedra CF win was 1-0 (12.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
