Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
0.11) 
-0.03) 
