Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
-0.13) 
0.09) 
