SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tenerife win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tenerife win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.72%) and 2-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tenerife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tenerife | Draw | Alaves |
49.52% ( -0.13) | 28.54% ( 0.09) | 21.94% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 39.44% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.23) | 65.2% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.97% ( -0.16) | 84.03% ( 0.16) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% ( -0.17) | 26.77% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.94% ( -0.23) | 62.06% ( 0.23) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.86% ( -0.09) | 46.13% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.17% ( -0.07) | 81.82% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tenerife | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 16.27% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.72% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.71% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.35% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.61% Total : 21.94% |
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