Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 38.39%. A win for Pontevedra CF had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Pontevedra CF win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.23) 
