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Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 2, 2022 at 7pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
ML

Rayo Vallecano
1 - 0
Mallorca

Trejo (44' pen.)
Comesana (28'), Valentin (72'), Trejo (78'), Ciss (90+7'), Dimitrievski (90+8'), Balliu (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ruiz de Galarreta (33'), Sanchez (51'), Russo (84'), Maffeo (90+1'), Valjent (90+1')

We said: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Mallorca

This could be an exciting evening of football with both sides likely to go all out as they attempt to secure a first Copa del Rey semi-final in a long time. We are backing the hosts to make the most of home advantage and their slightly better form to secure a narrow victory on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 46.96%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rayo Vallecano.

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca
46.96%25.74%27.29%
Both teams to score 51.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.94%52.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.21%73.79%
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.84%22.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.44%55.56%
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19%33.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.53%70.47%
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 46.95%
    Mallorca 27.29%
    Draw 25.74%
Rayo VallecanoDrawMallorca
1-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 4.27%
3-2 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.75%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 46.95%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 7.49%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.74%
0-1 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 6.64%
0-2 @ 4.41%
1-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 27.29%

Read more!
Read more!


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