SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Mallorca win was 1-0 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 27.57% | 27.17% | 45.25% |
| Both teams to score 47.53% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% | 57.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.84% | 78.16% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.59% | 36.41% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.8% | 73.19% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.74% | 25.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.99% | 60.01% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 6.46% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 9.2% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 12.65% 1-2 @ 8.8% 0-2 @ 8.71% 1-3 @ 4.04% 0-3 @ 3.99% 2-3 @ 2.04% 1-4 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.25% |
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