We said: Atletico Madrid 2-0 Rayo Vallecano
Under normal circumstances, we would be backing Rayo to give Atletico an incredibly difficult match and might have tipped a score draw in this contest; the visitors will be missing a number of important players, though, so we are backing Atletico to pick up a much-needed three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.
