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Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg
May 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Amazonia
F

Amazonas
0 - 1
Flamengo

 
FT(HT: 0-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Bolivar
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

We said: Amazonas 0-2 Flamengo

Buoyed by their resounding Copa Libertadores victory, Flamengo will head into Wednesday's game with sky-high confidence as they look to end their recent away struggles. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we predict that Tite's men will come away with a comfortable victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Amazonas had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.5%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for an Amazonas win it was 1-0 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Flamengo in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Flamengo.

Result
AmazonasDrawFlamengo
20.48% (0.42 0.42) 24.19% (0.351 0.35) 55.32% (-0.77 -0.77)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.05% (-0.871 -0.87)51.95% (0.872 0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.31% (-0.758 -0.76)73.69% (0.75899999999999 0.76)
Amazonas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.03% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)39.97% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.37% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)76.62% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.614 -0.61)18.66% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-1.041 -1.04)49.99% (1.042 1.04)
Score Analysis
    Amazonas 20.48%
    Flamengo 55.31%
    Draw 24.19%
AmazonasDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 6.84% (0.224 0.22)
2-1 @ 5.27% (0.063 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.14% (0.099 0.1)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 0.96% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 20.48%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.256 0.26)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 12.52% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 10.5% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-3 @ 5.88% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.26% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 55.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Amazonas
Last Game: Flamengo 4-0 Bolivar
Thursday, May 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Corinthians
Saturday, May 11 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palestino 1-0 Flamengo
Wednesday, May 8 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Flamengo
Saturday, May 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores


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