Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 53.32%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.