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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna
F

Palestino
1 - 0
Flamengo

Cornejo (63')
Linares (77'), Rojas (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wesley (73'), Gerson (88'), Lucas (90+3')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Palestino and Flamengo.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palestino 3-1 Millonarios
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Palestino win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
PalestinoDrawFlamengo
25.23% (-0.137 -0.14) 23.51% (-0.138 -0.14) 51.25% (0.277 0.28)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.318 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.82% (0.488 0.49)44.18% (-0.486 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.44% (0.472 0.47)66.56% (-0.47 -0.47)
Palestino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.74% (0.149 0.15)31.26% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.39% (0.172 0.17)67.61% (-0.17 -0.17)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.71% (0.28699999999999 0.29)17.29% (-0.283 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.37% (0.5 0.5)47.63% (-0.499 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Palestino 25.23%
    Flamengo 51.25%
    Draw 23.51%
PalestinoDrawFlamengo
2-1 @ 6.41% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.28% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 3.65% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 25.23%
1-1 @ 11.02% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.63% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.4% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 9.68% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.66% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.87% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.05 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.14% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.45% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 51.25%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palestino 3-1 Millonarios
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Palestino
Thursday, April 11 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 0-4 Bolivar
Friday, April 5 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 1-3 Nacional (3-1 pen.)
Wednesday, March 13 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Palestino
Wednesday, March 6 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palestino 2-1 Portuguesa
Tuesday, February 27 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bragantino 1-1 Flamengo
Saturday, May 4 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 0-2 Botafogo
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bolivar 2-1 Flamengo
Thursday, April 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Flamengo
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, April 18 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 1-2 Flamengo
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro


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