SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.25%. A win for Palestino had a probability of 25.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Palestino win was 2-1 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palestino | Draw | Flamengo |
25.23% ( -0.14) | 23.51% ( -0.14) | 51.25% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 56.85% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.82% ( 0.49) | 44.18% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.44% ( 0.47) | 66.56% ( -0.47) |
| Palestino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 0.15) | 31.26% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( 0.17) | 67.61% ( -0.17) |
| Flamengo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.71% ( 0.29) | 17.29% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.37% ( 0.5) | 47.63% ( -0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palestino | Draw | Flamengo |
| 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.23% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 8.33% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.66% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.49% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.25% |
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