Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brusque win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brasil de Pelotas had a probability of 20.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brusque win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Brasil de Pelotas win it was 0-1 (7.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brusque in this match.