Alianza Lima
2 - 2
Estudiantes

Arroe (3'), Rubio (90+6')
Espinoza (34'), Rubio (53'), Duclos (84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Rivas (35' pen., 67' pen.)
Lobo (24'), Rivas (39'), Plazas (53'), Araque (80')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Estudiantes Merida.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alianza Lima win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 33.04% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alianza Lima win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 0-1 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Estudiantes Merida
39.91%	27.05%	33.04%

Both teams to score 50.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.09%

54.91%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.81%

76.19%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.06%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.73%

62.27%

Estudiantes Merida Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.9%

31.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.57%

67.42%

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 39.9%

Estudiantes Merida 33.04%

Draw 27.05%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Estudiantes Merida
1-0 @ 10.98% 2-1 @ 8.42% 2-0 @ 7.21% 3-1 @ 3.68% 3-0 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.15% 4-1 @ 1.21% 4-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.08% Total : 39.9%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.38% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.05%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 7.49% 0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.92% 0-3 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.99% Total : 33.04%