Estudiantes
1 - 3
Nacional

Rivas (45+1')
Marrufo (41'), Flores (52')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Vecino (6', 60' pen.), Orihuela (27')
Orihuela (39'), Fernandez (74')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes Merida and Nacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Estudiantes Merida had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Estudiantes Merida	Draw	Nacional
35.52%	26.61%	37.88%

Both teams to score 52.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21%

52.79%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.58%

74.41%

Estudiantes Merida Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52%

28.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.76%

64.24%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.92%

27.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.54%

62.46%

Score Analysis

Estudiantes Merida 35.52%

Nacional 37.87%

Draw 26.6%

Estudiantes Merida	Draw	Nacional
1-0 @ 9.69% 2-1 @ 7.95% 2-0 @ 6.08% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.55% 3-2 @ 2.17% 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.52%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.71% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.6%	0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.27% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.26% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.87%