Ayacucho
1 - 2
Gremio

Sosa (40')
Jesus Paucar Reyes (35'), Daniel Villamarin Mora (45+1'), Mendieta (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Ferreira (41'), R (87')
Tressoldi Netto (54'), Henrique do Nascimento Pereira (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Ayacucho and Gremio.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gremio win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Ayacucho had a probability of 26.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gremio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.39%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Ayacucho win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gremio would win this match.

Result
Ayacucho	Draw	Gremio
26.71%	25.11%	48.17%

Both teams to score 53.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.13%

49.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.13%

71.86%

Ayacucho Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.89%

33.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.29%

69.7%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.27%

20.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.66%

53.34%

Score Analysis

Ayacucho 26.71%

Gremio 48.17%

Draw 25.1%

Ayacucho	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 7.58% 2-1 @ 6.6% 2-0 @ 4.19% 3-1 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.91% 3-0 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.45% Total : 26.71%	1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.86% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.1%	0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 9.39% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 4.93% 0-3 @ 4.46% 2-3 @ 2.72% 1-4 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.75% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.17%