Caracas
2 - 1
Libertad

Echeverria (48' pen.), Guarirapa (87')
Celis (37'), Flores (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Espinoza (44')
Abecasis (10'), Adorno (29'), Da Silva (49'), Mejia (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Caracas and Club Libertad.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Libertad win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Caracas had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Libertad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Caracas win was 1-0 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Caracas	Draw	Club Libertad
27.4%	27.39%	45.22%

Both teams to score 46.82%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.82%

58.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.17%

78.83%

Caracas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.98%

37.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.2%

73.8%

Club Libertad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.34%

25.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.44%

60.56%

Score Analysis

Caracas 27.4%

Club Libertad 45.22%

Draw 27.39%

Caracas	Draw	Club Libertad
1-0 @ 9.44% 2-1 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 2.11% 3-0 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.44% Other @ 1.78% Total : 27.4%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.5% 2-2 @ 4.34% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.39%	0-1 @ 12.92% 0-2 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 3.96% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-4 @ 1.36% 1-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.16% Total : 45.22%