Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Club Guarani had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Club Guarani win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.