Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 38.24%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 35.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.