Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 55.66%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Deportivo Cali had a probability of 21.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Deportivo Cali win it was 1-2 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Corinthians would win this match.
