Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Always Ready had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.16%), while for an Always Ready win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
