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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 21, 2021 at 11pm UK
Estadio Olímpico de la UCV
AM

Deportivo
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

Adrian Martinez (20')
Raul Olses Quijada (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zaracho (65')
Sasha (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo La GuairaDrawAtletico Mineiro
32.22%25.06%42.72%
Both teams to score 56.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.17%46.83%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.91%69.09%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.37%27.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.83%63.17%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.16%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo La Guaira 32.22%
    Atletico Mineiro 42.72%
    Draw 25.06%
Deportivo La GuairaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.79%
2-1 @ 7.6%
2-0 @ 5.01%
3-1 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.22%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 6.05%
2-2 @ 5.77%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 9.19%
1-2 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 4.54%
0-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.92%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.34%
2-4 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 42.72%

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