Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Deportivo La Guaira had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
