Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.04%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Palmeiras had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Palmeiras win it was 0-1 (6.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
