Sport
2 - 3
Atletico Mineiro

Dalberto (33'), Neves (87' pen.)
Henrique (20'), Marcao (45+1'), Dalberto (76'), Oliveira (89')
Ventura (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Jair (7'), Thyere (50' og.), Marrony (90+8')
Sasha (14'), Arana (81'), Marrony (84'), Alonso (90+6')
Sampaoli (90+9')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Sport Recife and Atletico Mineiro.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 15.71%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Sport Recife	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
15.71%	21.99%	62.3%

Both teams to score 46.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87%

50.13%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9%

72.1%

Sport Recife Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.41%

44.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.4%

80.6%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.45%

15.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.51%

44.49%

Score Analysis

Sport Recife 15.71%

Atletico Mineiro 62.29%

Draw 21.99%

Sport Recife	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 5.6% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 2.26% 3-1 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.45% Total : 15.71%	1-1 @ 10.42% 0-0 @ 6.93% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.72% Total : 21.99%	0-1 @ 12.9% 0-2 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-3 @ 7.45% 1-3 @ 6.02% 0-4 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.43% 0-5 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 1.13% 1-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.06% Total : 62.29%