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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 1am UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico de la UCV

Deportivo
0 - 1
Cerro Porteno


Eduardo Cumana Hernandez (26'), Jesus Silva Guzman (90+1'), David Ocanto Querales (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ezequiel Aquino (28' pen.)
Morales (40'), Goncalves (43')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo La Guaira win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 30.88% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo La Guaira win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Deportivo La GuairaDrawCerro Porteno
41.09%28.03%30.88%
Both teams to score 46.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.94%59.06%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.48%79.52%
Deportivo La Guaira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.75%28.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.04%63.96%
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.23%34.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.5%71.5%
Score Analysis
    Deportivo La Guaira 41.08%
    Cerro Porteno 30.88%
    Draw 28.02%
Deportivo La GuairaDrawCerro Porteno
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-1 @ 8.29%
2-0 @ 7.85%
3-1 @ 3.49%
3-0 @ 3.31%
3-2 @ 1.85%
4-1 @ 1.1%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 41.08%
1-1 @ 13.11%
0-0 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.02%
0-1 @ 10.37%
1-2 @ 6.93%
0-2 @ 5.48%
1-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 1.93%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 30.88%

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