Fluminense
2 - 0
Millonarios

(Fluminense win 4-1 on aggregate)

Willian (61'), Arias (73')
Cristiano (22'), Calegari (31')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Herazo (24'), Pablo Vargas (33'), Marquez (75')

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Fluminense and Millonarios.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Millonarios had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Millonarios win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
Fluminense	Draw	Millonarios
55.46%	24.58%	19.95%

Both teams to score 46.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.95%

54.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52%

75.47%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.59%

19.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.77%

51.22%

Millonarios Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.25%

41.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.78%

78.21%

Score Analysis

Fluminense 55.45%

Millonarios 19.95%

Draw 24.58%

Fluminense	Draw	Millonarios
1-0 @ 13.28% 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.51% 3-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 5.2% 4-0 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 2.13% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.86% Total : 55.45%	1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 8.1% 2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.58%	0-1 @ 7.08% 1-2 @ 5.07% 0-2 @ 3.09% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.95%