Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millonarios win with a probability of 37.09%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millonarios win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
