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ID
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 22, 2020 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Ruminahui
BS

Independiente
2 - 0
Barcelona

Jonatan Ortiz (24'), Torres (60')
Segovia (33'), Murillo (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alvez (10'), Orejuela (31'), Velasco (86')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Independiente del Valle and Barcelona SC.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente del Valle win with a probability of 48.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Barcelona SC had a probability of 25.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente del Valle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Barcelona SC win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente del Valle would win this match.

Result
Independiente del ValleDrawBarcelona SC
48.52%26.13%25.35%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.16%54.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.86%76.14%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.37%22.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.75%56.25%
Barcelona SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07%36.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28%73.72%
Score Analysis
    Independiente del Valle 48.51%
    Barcelona SC 25.35%
    Draw 26.13%
Independiente del ValleDrawBarcelona SC
1-0 @ 12.41%
2-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 9.19%
3-0 @ 4.57%
3-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.51%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 8.36%
2-2 @ 4.58%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.33%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.52%
0-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 25.35%


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