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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 28, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio José Pinheiro Borda

Internacional
4 - 0
Tachira

Cuesta (20'), Patrick (24'), Galhardo (43'), Alberto (75')
Patrick (25'), Galhardo (44'), Palacios (45')
Palacios (59')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Camacho (32'), O'Neal Covea Uzcategui (69'), Gondola (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 16.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.

Result
InternacionalDrawDeportivo Tachira
60.11%23.47%16.42%
Both teams to score 44.08%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.38%54.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05%75.95%
Internacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12%17.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.34%48.66%
Deportivo Tachira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.67%46.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.03%81.97%
Score Analysis
    Internacional 60.1%
    Deportivo Tachira 16.42%
    Draw 23.47%
InternacionalDrawDeportivo Tachira
1-0 @ 14.25%
2-0 @ 12.27%
2-1 @ 9.44%
3-0 @ 7.04%
3-1 @ 5.42%
4-0 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 2.09%
5-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 60.1%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 8.28%
2-2 @ 3.63%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.37%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-2 @ 2.45%
1-3 @ 1.08%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 16.42%

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