Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 60.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Deportivo Tachira had a probability of 16.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Deportivo Tachira win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.