Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 16.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
