Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jorge Wilstermann win with a probability of 49.3%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 25.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.