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Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
Sep 6, 2020 at 10pm UK
Estádio São Januário
AP

Vasco
1 - 0
Athletico PR

Cano (7')
Borges (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Geuvanio (89')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Athletico Paranaense.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match.

Result
Vasco da GamaDrawAthletico Paranaense
42.71%28.32%28.97%
Both teams to score 45.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3%60.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23%80.76%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.85%28.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.18%63.82%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87%37.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08%73.91%
Score Analysis
    Vasco da Gama 42.7%
    Athletico Paranaense 28.97%
    Draw 28.31%
Vasco da GamaDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 8.4%
2-1 @ 8.32%
3-0 @ 3.55%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-2 @ 1.74%
4-0 @ 1.13%
4-1 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 42.7%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 10.44%
2-2 @ 4.12%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.31%
0-1 @ 10.35%
1-2 @ 6.5%
0-2 @ 5.13%
1-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 28.97%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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