Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 21.91%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
