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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 30, 2020 at 1.30am UK
 

LDU Quito
4 - 0
Binacional

Otoya (2' og.), Mancilla (14' og.), Munoz (58', 81')
Guerra (60')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Romero (27'), Angles (64'), Reyes (82')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Deportivo Binacional.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Deportivo Binacional had a probability of 16.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.81%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Deportivo Binacional win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU QuitoDrawDeportivo Binacional
60.19%22.96%16.84%
Both teams to score 46.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.92%52.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.19%73.8%
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.98%47.01%
Deportivo Binacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.73%44.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.66%80.34%
Score Analysis
    LDU Quito 60.18%
    Deportivo Binacional 16.84%
    Draw 22.96%
LDU QuitoDrawDeportivo Binacional
1-0 @ 13.31%
2-0 @ 11.81%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 5.7%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-1 @ 2.53%
3-2 @ 2.32%
5-0 @ 1.1%
4-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 60.18%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 7.5%
2-2 @ 3.93%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.11%
1-2 @ 4.42%
0-2 @ 2.49%
1-3 @ 1.2%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 16.84%


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