LDU Quito
4 - 2
Sao Paulo

Borja (21'), Julio (36', 45+1'), Arce (76')
Zunino (33'), Piovi (37')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Brenner (60'), Trellez (82')
Nestor (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between LDU Quito and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a LDU Quito win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a LDU Quito win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that LDU Quito would win this match.

Result
LDU Quito	Draw	Sao Paulo
43.82%	26.53%	29.64%

Both teams to score 50.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.05%

53.95%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.6%

75.4%

LDU Quito Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.54%

24.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.1%

58.9%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67%

33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41%

69.59%

Score Analysis

LDU Quito 43.82%

Sao Paulo 29.64%

Draw 26.53%

LDU Quito	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.36% 2-1 @ 8.87% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 1.47% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.82%	1-1 @ 12.6% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 4.92% Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 8.95% 1-2 @ 6.99% 0-2 @ 4.96% 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.64%