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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 29, 2021 at 3am UK
Estadio Defensores del Chaco

Olimpia
2 - 1
Always Ready

Santa Cruz (71'), Ortiz (80')
Eduardo Recalde (86'), Benitez (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Polenta (64' og.)
Ramallo (9'), Cummings (34'), Carlos Arce (68'), Enoumba (81'), Algaranaz Arnez (87')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olimpia win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Always Ready had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olimpia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Always Ready win was 0-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olimpia would win this match.

Result
OlimpiaDrawAlways Ready
47.3%25.25%27.45%
Both teams to score 53.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.03%49.98%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04%71.96%
Olimpia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.86%21.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46%54%
Always Ready Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.42%32.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.88%69.12%
Score Analysis
    Olimpia 47.29%
    Always Ready 27.45%
    Draw 25.25%
OlimpiaDrawAlways Ready
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.33%
2-0 @ 8.32%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.67%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.29%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 5.23%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.73%
1-2 @ 6.73%
0-2 @ 4.33%
1-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 27.45%

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