River Plate
2 - 1
Sao Paulo

Alvarez (11', 37')
Suarez (16'), Perez (19'), Casco (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Diego (26')
Alves (21'), Diego (35'), Bueno (71'), Juanfran (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between River Plate and Sao Paulo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Sao Paulo
58.04%	22.69%	19.27%

Both teams to score 51.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.58%

47.41%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.37%

69.63%

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.96%

16.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.6%

45.4%

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.34%

38.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.6%

75.39%

Score Analysis

River Plate 58.03%

Sao Paulo 19.27%

Draw 22.68%

River Plate	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 6.02% 4-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 2.86% 4-1 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.31% 5-0 @ 1.06% 5-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.2% Total : 58.03%	1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.2% 2-2 @ 4.69% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.68%	0-1 @ 5.89% 1-2 @ 5.13% 0-2 @ 2.8% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.34% Total : 19.27%