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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 18, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
2 - 0
Universidad

Di Santo (13'), Romero (59')
Gattoni (67'), Rodriguez (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

B (24'), Henriquez (35'), Moya (45'), Morales (55'), Rodriguez (63'), R (71'), Morales (89')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between San Lorenzo and Universidad de Chile.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 42.9%. A win for Universidad de Chile had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Universidad de Chile win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
San LorenzoDrawUniversidad de Chile
42.9%26.99%30.12%
Both teams to score 49.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.49%55.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.31%76.69%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38%25.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.49%60.51%
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.53%33.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.9%70.1%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 42.89%
    Universidad de Chile 30.12%
    Draw 26.98%
San LorenzoDrawUniversidad de Chile
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 7.95%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 1.35%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 42.89%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.58%
2-2 @ 4.76%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 7%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.12%

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