Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
