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Copa Libertadores | Second Round
Mar 11, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Nacional Julio Martinez Pradanos
SL

Universidad
1 - 1
San Lorenzo

Henriquez (76')
Sandoval (15'), Casanova (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Di Santo (78')
Rojas (17'), Palacios (37')
Braghieri (62')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between Universidad de Chile and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad de Chile win with a probability of 41.78%. A win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 30.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Universidad de Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest San Lorenzo win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.

Result
Universidad de ChileDrawSan Lorenzo
41.78%27.59%30.63%
Both teams to score 47.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.41%57.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.64%78.36%
Universidad de Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.12%70.87%
Score Analysis
    Universidad de Chile 41.78%
    San Lorenzo 30.63%
    Draw 27.59%
Universidad de ChileDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 12.1%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 7.88%
3-1 @ 3.68%
3-0 @ 3.42%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.2%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.78%
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 9.97%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 5.35%
1-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 30.63%

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