Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Arsenal Sarandi had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Arsenal Sarandi win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.
