Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Cristal win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 37.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Cristal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (5.79%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 1-2 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
