Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 19.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.