Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Bolivar had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Bolivar win was 0-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
