Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a 9 de Octubre win with a probability of 51.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Delfin had a probability of 23.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a 9 de Octubre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Delfin win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that 9 de Octubre would win this match.
