Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Delfin had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Delfin win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.